An addendum to 4:
We could be one of the first, so life is unusually sparse during this period of time.
The universe is old, but it takes a lot to build up the components needed for life as we know it. The first two generations of stars wouldn’t have created the exotic materials in quantitie we needed to seed a world with the requirements for life.
And life couldn’t have realistically happened much faster in a 3rd generation system than it did in our system.
There are some very old 3rd Gen stars, but it’s less common and iirc they’re not close to us.
Tldr
This is early phases, life is going to get more common over the next few billion years.
I read somewhere there are at least 6 possibilities:
Whatever it is, it’s a fascinating problem and I like Carl Sagan’s approach.
An addendum to 4:
We could be one of the first, so life is unusually sparse during this period of time.
The universe is old, but it takes a lot to build up the components needed for life as we know it. The first two generations of stars wouldn’t have created the exotic materials in quantitie we needed to seed a world with the requirements for life.
And life couldn’t have realistically happened much faster in a 3rd generation system than it did in our system.
There are some very old 3rd Gen stars, but it’s less common and iirc they’re not close to us.
Tldr
This is early phases, life is going to get more common over the next few billion years.