subversive_dev
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subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
11·10 days agoI don’t speak for anyone else regarding the Ukraine war. When this war started I originally favored the Ukrainian side.
Frankly, now is the time for hyperbole. The Ukrainians are still critically short of men. That has been true for years and keeps getting worse. If I was trying to be persuasive maybe I would be more circumspect but as I mentioned I don’t really care right now.
If the Ukrainians really had any chance of winning, they would not bother with media counter-offensives, wunderwaffen obsession, or absurd inflation of Russian casualties.
It definitely is not whataboutism, it’s literal cause and effect. Doing years of ethnic cleansing is casus belli.
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
1·12 days agoNew day, new patience apparently.
The increase in oil price and softening of US sanctions will benefit the Russians, but it won’t make the war economy sustainable.
According to who? The sanctions can’t be “on the verge” of working and also not be that important at the same time. We’re talking about DOUBLE revenue on a per-barrel basis (so far!). Sanctions work by slowly choking out the supply of dollars until an economy suffocates. A flood of new dollars DOES completely reverse years of sanctions. So unless you believe the sanctions were not working (which I do by the way) then this matters a lot.
Western armories are running bare, but the same is true for the Russian ones. Both Ukraine and Russia are mostly using equipment as it’s being produced, and both Ukraine and the rest of Europe has been ramping up production capacity.
Do you remember years ago when the Europeans themselves came out and said the Russians were outproducing the entire West in artillery shells 3-to-1? Do you think that only applies to artillery shells? The West has DEINDUSTRIALIZED after decades of neglect, outsourcing, corruption, and financialization. The energy crisis in Europe is only shifting this into high gear.
Both Ukraine and Russia are mostly using equipment as it’s being produced
What evidence is there for this? You think the Russians have only made 2 Oreshnik missles? You think they are only making a few hundred Gerans a week?
The high energy prices are a problem in Europe, but compared to the situation in Russia (or Ukraine, for that matter) there’s nothing EXTREME about it.
This is honestly laughable. Europe is dying under the weight of their own vassalage. What do you think it means to have the highest energy prices in the world? How does that effect an industrial economy? Why did Volkswagen stop production at their main plant for the first time ever? Now it’s about to get MUCH WORSE because Europe was extremely dependent on Quatari LNG. That LNG isn’t waiting for the strait to open, it’s already not being produced and liquefied, leaving a permanent gap in the world supply.
The reason peace negotiations have been hopeless, is because the Ukrainians and the Russians can’t agree on where the war is headed
Well you could say that. The West believes it’s own propaganda which has been propping up this war for 3 years when it was already lost (the writing has been on the wall since the ill-fated Zaporizhzhia counteroffensive in '23). The pattern of big huge hype about any territorial gains, trailing off into ashamed whimpers in the press, has been followed in every disastrous “media counteroffensive” since: Kursk, Pokrovsk, Kupiansk, and now Dnipropetrovsk. THE UKRAINIANS ARE CRITICALLY SHORT OF INFANTRY AND HAVE BEEN FOR YEARS. LOOK AT REPORTS FROM ANY GROUND-LEVEL COMMANDER ON THE UKR SIDE. NO AMOUNT OF PRESS-GANGED RETIREES CAN CHANGE THIS.
Who is right is up to us
Spoken like a European
every single demand that the Russians have is against some pretty fundamental international law
Was it against international law when the Banderites engaged with their war against Russian speaking civilians in the Donbass for 8 years? Do you still not know about this because of how completely the wool has been pulled over your eyes by the western media? It’s game over. The media narratives are collapsing under the weight of their own failure. This conversation doesn’t matter any more for the fate of the current war, I’m only bothering so we can all spot the patterns if and when the West attempts to do this bullshit again.
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
3·13 days ago3 factors:
- Whether or not you believe Russia’s economy was “just about to collapse” from sanctions, that is all up in smoke now
- The Western armories were already running bare. Now, Ukraine will probably never receive another air defense interceptor. There won’t be any tomahawks to give even if they got some working ground launchers.
- Ukraine’s European backers were already under tremendous economic strain from having the highest energy prices in the world. They are EXTREMELY exposed to this current energy shock.
The combined forces of the West were already losing before suffering this massive economic shock and gigantic military expenditure
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
18·13 days agoI do not have the patience to have this stupid fight today. Ukraine is definitely a US proxy. Every president since George W Bush has been preparing for and escalating this war. It’s easy to get confused if you get distracted by the puppet show instead of watching the flow of dollars and bombs.
The war in Iran has sealed Ukraine’s fate. All the cards they had left to play have now been neutralized. It doesn’t matter how much propaganda you believe about the Ukraine war because it’s coming to a rapid conclusion
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
2·13 days agoIt’s a dark time. I don’t judge you. DMs open if you want to talk
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
2·13 days agoThis comment does seem for real, I’ll bite
Hasbara is the name for the Israeli propaganda machine, especially the paid influencers
What I’m describing is in the direction of the worst-case scenario, there are many other scenarios that could unfold - nobody knows.
I personally think suicide is THE difficult moral and philosophical question, I will certainly not be claiming there is an easy answer and I don’t personally like the standard responses like “permanent solution to a temporary problem”
Why did you make the difficult choice to go sober?
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
4·13 days agoYou strike me as a hasbara troll, not someone who’s actually depressed. I’m not good at talking people out of suicide anyways.
If you really are thinking of ending your life, talk about it with a trusted friend instead of some assholes on the internet like myself
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
31·13 days agoNow you’re starting to get the gravity of the situation
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
111·13 days agoThe line has already been drawn. The only meaningful wildcards are the Turks and the Egyptians. The question you should be asking is how long until the gulf monarchies run out of staple grain? That hits much sooner than the global fertilizer crisis, we won’t feel the business end of that until harvest season in the northern hemisphere
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
182·13 days agoHonestly, I wrote my comment with a questioning tone because I wasn’t sure if your original comment was being sarcastic or something. I guess people don’t understand that this Iran war is much more serious than Vietnam and Afghanistan put together, on top of the Ukraine war still ongoing.
If the strait isn’t open in the next few months, we could be seeing outbreaks of global starvation unlike anything seen in decades. That’s just the beginning and I wish I was exaggerating
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•We don’t have room in the carbon budget for a world war.English
274·13 days agoThe global empire of capital is trapped in two losing wars of attrition and keeps on desperately escalating in both cases?
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml•Reuters admits to as many as 150 US troops wounded so far in Iran warEnglish
2·15 days agoI think the reason you’re getting so confused is you’re failing to consider the media context that “Reuters” arises from. It’s literally the state media apparatus by which the British media system gets their marching orders from the corrupt capital/espionage axis. (That’s what being a wire service in the West means in practice)
You can choose your to do your activism however you want, I personally think being completely blind to homegrown propaganda makes for a movement that is completely ineffectual and easy to “herd”
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml•Reuters admits to as many as 150 US troops wounded so far in Iran warEnglish
21·15 days agoSpin is when the propaganda is coming from outside of NATO apparently
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml•Reuters admits to as many as 150 US troops wounded so far in Iran warEnglish
9·16 days agoSo you agree that the US is being historically evil (even by its own standards), but the REAL problem is those nasty tankies calling out the way it’s propaganda works?
It IS “admits” because Iranian sources have been claiming for days that US casualties were being hugely underreported - in fact they were saying over 100. People like yourself were previously mocking his claim, now the propaganda apparatus has been forced to concede the truth.
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml•Law of the jungle: How the actions of Trump, Putin and Netanyahu are weakening the rules-based orderEnglish
2·19 days agoThose tanks are too busy being destroyed in hopeless counterattacks
subversive_dev@lemmy.mlto
Showerthoughts@lemmy.world•The reason Trump hyperfocuses on decapitation strikes as the sole instrument of regime change is to him only strongmen make things happen and governments are illegitimate illusionsEnglish
13·26 days agoTrump is a science experiment from a mad historian trying to prove and disprove the great man theory of history at the same time

Ohh absolutely, the whole F-35 program is a complete shitshow of its own