Why is it crazy?

Israel carried out an elaborately planned attack involving thousands of booby-trapped pagers that required setting up an entire secret production and logistic chain. Israel spycraft is so good that they literally stole the uranium they used to build their first nukes right out of US labs. They. Stole. Uranium. Weapons grade.

You’re talking about a country with the best spies on the planet, and one that openly spends millions of dollars influencing US elections.

You’re also talking about a country willing to accept massive collateral damage if it advances their interests. Those pagers for instance? They were smuggled in over years. Many ended up in pawn shops and later bought by random innocent people. Many innocent bystanders were harmed when Hezbollah members were blown up. You can’t set off thousands of explosions in a country at random locations without hurting a lot of innocent people.

My point is that Israel has the means, motive, and opportunity to do this. Framing an innocent man for rape is not even on their radar in terms of acceptable levels of collateral damage.

Do I actually think it’s an Israel conspiracy? I have no real evidence of that. But I also think it’s ridiculous to just dismiss the idea out of hand. You can find numerous incidents of blackmail committed by Israel against American victims.