And you don’t believe this one will? Israel is attempting to push further in Jordan, China is just biding its time until the US is stretched thin and then is going for Taiwan. Russia is still fucking up in Ukraine.
By themselves, they can all just be considered local skirmishes, but at the point they intersect (such as China invading Taiwan) then it will most likely spiral and escalate.
But ultimately, what do we know. We’re both just armchair pundits with different opinions. Without a look into the inner machinations of global powers, it’s all just guessing.
I don’t believe this will turn into a world war, because I’ve seen zero compelling evidence that it will. And I gotta point out that you’re not offering any here either.
Could China take advantage of this situation to make a move on Taiwan? Maybe. But I don’t really see how this meaningfully impacts the US posture in the South Pacific. Unless it actually starts drawing away resources to the point where there’s a real opening, it’s not actually going to change the math for China.
Russia is, as you’ve pointed out, already tied up in Ukraine. They’ve made no indication that they intend to meaningfully back up Iran in this conflict, and there’s no reason to expect that position to change now. At best they’ll funnel weapons and money to them like they did with North Korea and North Vietnam.
I think there’s absolutely the possibility for this conflict in the Middle East to sweep up more regional powers. That’s absolutely a justified concern. But again, that’s not a world war, and there’s no clear cause and effect that would turn it into one.
And you don’t believe this one will? Israel is attempting to push further in Jordan, China is just biding its time until the US is stretched thin and then is going for Taiwan. Russia is still fucking up in Ukraine.
By themselves, they can all just be considered local skirmishes, but at the point they intersect (such as China invading Taiwan) then it will most likely spiral and escalate.
But ultimately, what do we know. We’re both just armchair pundits with different opinions. Without a look into the inner machinations of global powers, it’s all just guessing.
I don’t believe this will turn into a world war, because I’ve seen zero compelling evidence that it will. And I gotta point out that you’re not offering any here either.
Could China take advantage of this situation to make a move on Taiwan? Maybe. But I don’t really see how this meaningfully impacts the US posture in the South Pacific. Unless it actually starts drawing away resources to the point where there’s a real opening, it’s not actually going to change the math for China.
Russia is, as you’ve pointed out, already tied up in Ukraine. They’ve made no indication that they intend to meaningfully back up Iran in this conflict, and there’s no reason to expect that position to change now. At best they’ll funnel weapons and money to them like they did with North Korea and North Vietnam.
I think there’s absolutely the possibility for this conflict in the Middle East to sweep up more regional powers. That’s absolutely a justified concern. But again, that’s not a world war, and there’s no clear cause and effect that would turn it into one.