• mrbutterscotch@feddit.org
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    2 days ago

    Well it’s not so much people predicting but the CCP stating it themselves. They aren’t very secretive about it.

    • AppleTea@lemmy.zip
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      2 days ago

      Stating they’re gonna invade or stating their claim its their province? Unless something has changed recently, Taiwan documents (ID, drivers license and such) are valid and accepted in CCP’s China. I don’t really see why they would invade, considering all the military buildup the US has done in anticipation of it.

      Like, if there’s a lesson to be learned from 21st century history, it’s that invasion and regime changes - on top of being horrible and immoral - do not work. You don’t have to like their one party system, but it’s undeniable that as an institution, it’s capable of analyzing conditions, learning from them, and adapting policy.

      Just kinda seems like we’re wish-casting that our geopolitical “adversary” make the same mistake we keep repeatedly making.

      • mrbutterscotch@feddit.org
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        1 day ago

        Ji xinping has called the reunification of Taiwan the essence of the countries rejuvination which must be achieved by 2049. And allthough they express a preference for peacefull reunification( which will never happen) officials have repeatedly stressed their right to resort to force.

        And their one party system is no more adaptable than other authoritarian systems. I don’t know where you’re getting that from. I mean just look at the Evergrande fiasco.

        • AppleTea@lemmy.zip
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          23 hours ago

          In regards to adaptability, I’m comparing it to the liberal democracy I live under. Every administration in my lifetime has had far far greater policy continuity than difference. And it’s billed as a “laboratory of democracy”.

          The CCP is at least capable of recognizing policy failure and trying something else.

          • mrbutterscotch@feddit.org
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            19 hours ago

            I’m not quite sure what you are trying so say. Are you still talking about it in the context of China invading taiwan? As in they saw how didn’t work out for the US and that’s why they won’t invade taiwan? Because as I said they state themselves they are not opposed to forcefully acquiring the island.

            Talking about adaptability in general, yes of course an authoritarian leadership can adapt and react a lot faster than a democracy because it doesn’t have to care about checks and balances, human rights and all the other bureaucracy that make up a democracy.

            But that’s not really the adaptability that I would want, I quite enjoy living in a democracy…

      • Doomsider@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        It seems for the most part that China is happy to control Taiwan politically rather than military. I think this is the missing piece most people don’t understand.